On Mon, Jan 23, 2017 at 6:32 PM, Kenneth Russell <firstname.lastname@example.org> wrote:We expect that it will roll out quickly to most browsers and operating systems.I've crunched the numbers on that a bit, and I've found that although a Chrome and Firefox rollout will will bring the UA support to something close to 73%. Around 10% of WebGL1 contexts come with major performance caveats (meaning mostly swiftshader/cpu paths, etc.) and will be unusable, even for WebGL1. Since DX11/GL3 hardware is required for ES 3.0, I've also found that on the steam hardware stats around 15% of devices are not capable of that, incidentally, a bit more than 15% of Steam hardware survey devices are Intel integrated something or other, it's therefore logical to assume that a large chunk of the Intel integrated cards will have trouble with ES 3.0. Unfortunately, on the general web (and not on steam), these comprise around 50% of the hardware seen.
Therefore the initial support level you can reasonably expect is likely to be between 30-50%. And this level will remain in place for as long as:
- PC/Laptop retailers continue selling bottom of the barrel Intel cards
- Users do not upgrade their bottom of the barrel Intel cards
- Microsoft and Apple do not Implement WebGL2.I'd like to be wrong about this, I desperately do, but I think you've got to be realistic.